8/19/25

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     The Livestock Markets were all higher today, the Feeders once again making a new contract high. October'25 Live Cattle were 17 ½ cents higher today and settled at 231.35. Today's high was 232.60 and the 1-month and contract high are 232.75. Today's low was 230.12 ½ and the 1-month low is 219.10. Since 7/18 October'25 Live Cattle are 11.52 ½ higher or more than 5%. The September'25 Feeder Cattle were 1.50 higher today and settled at 352.42 ½. Today's high was 354.55 and that is the new 1-month and contract high as well. Today's low was 349.95 and the 1-month low is 323.75. Since 7/18 September'25 Feeder Cattle are 28.22 ½ higher or almost 9%. The Hogs traded higher today. October'25 Hogs were 2 ½ cents higher today and settled at 90.15. Today's high was 90.40 and the 1-month high is 93.27 ½. Today's low was 89.30 and the 1-month low is 87.92 ½. Since 7/18 October'25 Lean Hogs are 47 ½ cents higher or about ½%. The Cattle Markets are still on a ridiculous run higher, and I would start preparing for a pivot in the Market. I still like the downside in this market, as you know, but have started structuring Trades to capitalize on a continued rally or big break in the Cattle Markets. The Trades all have limited and defined risk, and zero exposure to a margin call. Buying a Call and a Put at different strikes in the Option Markets is called a Strangle. With a Strangle Trade you are looking for large price movement, the direction does not matter as you will capitalize on a big, continued rally, or capitalize on a big break being long the Put. The price you pay for the Call and the Put, is the only risk in the trade, ZERO MARGIN RISK and no more writing margin checks. There are new examples of Strangle Trades that I sent out yesterday below. There are also trades buying just Calls, Buying just Puts, Buying Call Spreads, and Buying Put Spreads. All of the Trades are in the November'25 Feeder Cattle Contract, and all have defined risk, with zero margin exposure. If you have any question about the trades or would like information on opening an account, just give me a call. I would not be shocked to see a plant closure soon. I like the 210 level in the October'25 Fats and 320 level in the September'25 Feeders, for starters. For the October'25 Hogs the 85-87 level looks likely to me. If you buy Livestock, Hedge your Livestock. I look forward to hearing from you. Have a great night. 

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I see two big trades for this year. I still like the Soybean Oil and the Natural Gas. These markets will correct. Take advantage of any pullbacks in these markets.  NOW IS THE TIME TO OPEN AN ACCOUNT. If you hit the link and provide your information, you will have a wealth of Market information at your fingertips.  Sign Up Now

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Pure Energy and Pure Metals coming soon.

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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS

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     The Grain Markets were all lower today, with the Wheat making a new contract low. The Beans were lower again today. November'25 Soybeans were 7 ½ cents lower today and settled at 1033 ¾. Today's high was 1046 and the 1-month high is 1049 ¼. Today's low was 1030 ½ and the 1-month low is 981 ¼. Since 7/18 November'25 Soybeans are 2 cents lower or fractionally lower. The Corn Market sank lower again today. December'25 Corn was 3 ¼ cents lower today and settled at 403 ¼. Today's high was 406 and the 1-month high is 427 ¾. Today's low was 401 ½ and the 1-month and contract low are 392. Since 7/18 December'25 Corn is 24 ½ cents lower or almost 6%. The Wheat Market dropped as well today. December'25 Wheat was 3 ¾ cents lower today and settled at 521 ¼. Today's high was 525 and the 1-month high is 572 ¾. Today's low was 519 ½ and that is the new 1-month and contract low. Since 7/18 December'25 Wheat is 45 ¾ cents lower or more than 8%. The Grains are still pathetic and continue to slide lower on good yield estimates, still no trade deal with China, and with the Wheat making a new contract low today, the upside is hard to find. However, these markets do surprise you every now and then. The China Trade Deal was extended until November 10th, a Monday, which also happens to be a WASDE Report Day. There might not be a trade deal, or there could be a trade deal done well before the deadline, or there could be a Trade Deal Finalized the weekend before or on the WASDE Report Day. That could be an interesting day, with the WASDE Report coming out at 11:00am central time. If it were to take that long, I would recommend buying the January'26 Soybean Contracts. This past WASDE Report estimated the Corn to be a whopping 188.8 bushels per acre. That is a big number, but the Market could have a big rally if that number changes. The Wheat Market fell in a well and can't get out, but this contract is the one that can move quickly when it wants to. With the Grain prices so depressed, I would use the Option Markets, several months out and start building a cheap long position. I can help with that if you give me a call. There are Trades that I structured and sent out yesterday in the November'25 Feeder Cattle Below. Give me a call if you have any questions. Have a great night. 

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If you don't like the customer service or personal attention you are receiving at your new and very large brokerage house, you have options, and you don't have to stay there. I can have your new account open in 1-2 days. Call me anytime 312-957-8079 BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM   Sign Up Now

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 BULLISH AND BEARISH NOVEMBER'25 FEEDER CATTLE OPTION TRADES SENT OUT YESTERDAY BELOW: 

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If you would like to open an account, please call or send me an email BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM 

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50-Year Cattle Chart Below. Whenever it Breaks it Will Be a Spectacular Collapse.

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December'25 Natural Gas 5-Year Chart Below.  

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December'25 Soybean Oil 5-Year Chart Below. 

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USE THE QR CODE BELOW TO SIGNUP FOR TRADE ALERTS

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If you would like to receive more information on the commodity markets, please use the link to join my email list   Sign Up Now 

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Thank you to all of my Canadian Customers. If you live in Alberta or Ontario, you are able to open an account in the USA. Hopefully we can work with the Province of Saskatchewan, and all Canandian Provinces soon. Your ability to open an account in the US is blocked by your Provincial Governments, not by the United States. 

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Thank you to all of my old and new Customers. I appreciate your business. To those of you that are close to opening an account, please call me if you have any questions, and I look forward to working with you soon. To anyone thinking about opening a Hedge or Trading account, give me a call and we can talk about it. 

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Most Recent Walsh Gamma Trader Link - Walsh Gamma Trader

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GOD BLESS AMERICA

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Give me a call if you have any questions.

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Bill Allen

Vice President

Pure Hedge Division 

Direct: 312-957-8079

ballen@walshtrading.com

WALSH TRADING INC.

311 South Wacker Drive

Suite 540 Chicago, Illinois 60606

www.walshtrading.com

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