Elliott Wave Live: Dollar Eyeing Lower As Yeilds Fall

A pile of Australian dollar bills by RomanR via Shutterstock

Good day and week to everyone, I hope you had a wonderful weekend.

I hope you had a great weekend and are ready for the new trading week. We can expect some volatility, especially after Friday’s dollar sell-off on weaker-than-expected jobs data, which now has markets convinced Powell will cut rates, maybe even twice this year. The key focus this week will be Thursday’s US CPI release, which could strengthen that view if inflation softens, though there’s still a risk inflation comes in higher due to tariffs. For a market dirrection, I prefer to look at the bigger cycles and EW structure, and I still think we have to respect dollar weakness. The three-wave rise from the August lows suggests we could be witnessing a new break into wave C toward the July lows, especially if US yields remain weak. At the same time other currencies, as well as metals could benefit.

For more analysis, check our webinar below where I also looked at bitcoin, ethereum, gold, dax on lot more.

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Grega

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